Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.017887 0.019782 0.021691 0.023754 0.025915 0.028108 0.030496
2025-06-08 0.013908 0.016828 0.019901 0.023349 0.027085 0.030992 0.035364
2025-06-15 0.011490 0.015034 0.018899 0.023366 0.028332 0.033633 0.039676
2025-06-22 0.009360 0.013245 0.017633 0.022842 0.028761 0.035193 0.042634
2025-06-29 0.007371 0.011376 0.016072 0.021802 0.028451 0.035797 0.044410
2025-07-06 0.005759 0.009773 0.014668 0.020803 0.028066 0.036213 0.045880
2025-07-13 0.005018 0.009180 0.014409 0.021091 0.029114 0.038204 0.049079
2025-07-20 0.004121 0.008276 0.013687 0.020757 0.029378 0.039256 0.051172
2025-07-27 0.003430 0.007573 0.013159 0.020611 0.029825 0.040484 0.053437
2025-08-03 0.003255 0.007596 0.013565 0.021619 0.031649 0.043311 0.057538
2025-08-10 0.002648 0.006892 0.012954 0.021302 0.031836 0.044194 0.059369
2025-08-17 0.002084 0.006174 0.012269 0.020848 0.031823 0.044815 0.060873
2025-08-24 0.001532 0.005438 0.011592 0.020490 0.032056 0.045893 0.063123
2025-08-31 0.001037 0.004694 0.010863 0.020059 0.032223 0.046938 0.065403
2025-09-07 0.000726 0.004215 0.010481 0.020067 0.032928 0.048622 0.068439
2025-09-14 0.000415 0.003577 0.009779 0.019581 0.032963 0.049464 0.070450
2025-09-21 0.000157 0.002830 0.008793 0.018623 0.032331 0.049448 0.071400
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.002190 0.007882 0.017703 0.031700 0.049395 0.072274
2025-10-05 0.000004 0.002000 0.007774 0.017968 0.032647 0.051311 0.075533
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001658 0.007314 0.017661 0.032796 0.052207 0.077535
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001402 0.006980 0.017527 0.033166 0.053369 0.079855
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001442 0.007310 0.018454 0.035008 0.056417 0.084501
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001178 0.006897 0.018162 0.035139 0.057262 0.086421